Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 1.971752 2.257544 2.561223 2.906973 3.288722 3.696349 4.163518
2025-01-26 1.476213 1.876886 2.337246 2.900657 3.566696 4.324022 5.245034
2025-02-02 1.156174 1.617839 2.186713 2.927737 3.855104 4.964544 6.378201
2025-02-09 0.912550 1.397244 2.034222 2.911397 4.064643 5.504704 7.411541
2025-02-16 0.721326 1.204556 1.879454 2.857486 4.201268 5.943250 8.327105
2025-02-23 0.600306 1.085261 1.800606 2.884516 4.430901 6.499361 9.407848
2025-03-02 0.489391 0.958776 1.689814 2.846467 4.556702 6.912263 10.308184
2025-03-09 0.417202 0.879848 1.636540 2.880245 4.776860 7.454925 11.397546
2025-03-16 0.349432 0.794954 1.560613 2.867361 4.920824 7.890312 12.349623
2025-03-23 0.315735 0.765233 1.569794 2.985252 5.263126 8.619222 13.737319
2025-03-30 0.282740 0.730398 1.564692 3.076571 5.565991 9.299559 15.076692
2025-04-06 0.236277 0.658805 1.484615 3.033221 5.650517 9.655271 15.953449
2025-04-13 0.206797 0.618994 1.460360 3.087246 5.900904 10.282033 17.269622
2025-04-20 0.179183 0.577674 1.428219 3.124573 6.126472 10.881980 18.571663
2025-04-27 0.156355 0.542569 1.403547 3.172308 6.370842 11.520107 19.953296
2025-05-04 0.132023 0.497347 1.351490 3.162986 6.514926 12.003230 21.111948
2025-05-11 0.108296 0.446820 1.280283 3.108810 6.574752 12.350228 22.067648
2025-05-18 0.093718 0.418445 1.253848 3.139167 6.784339 12.946060 23.428880
2025-05-25 0.077359 0.379123 1.195862 3.099092 6.861515 13.323258 24.451579
2025-06-01 0.067310 0.357271 1.176172 3.135487 7.079389 13.940134 25.871820
2025-06-08 0.056489 0.328667 1.135092 3.121818 7.200788 14.395908 27.042053
2025-06-15 0.052503 0.324826 1.157465 3.247941 7.594633 15.330133 29.017263
2025-06-22 0.047822 0.316597 1.166930 3.345574 7.937035 16.184959 30.881936